Sunday, February 08, 2009

Heads - I am bruised, Tails - I am crushed...

...where Heads means a company reported numbers that were "either in-line with the street estimates" or were "better than expected", and where Tails means a company reported poor numbers for the just concluded quarter ended Dec 2008.

Further, where "I am bruised" means that the stock witnessed a small decline in price or remained unchanged (more or less!), and where "I am crushed" means the stock is sharply down since the current earnings season began.

Some of the companies drawing Heads include Oriental Bank of Commerce, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, Wyeth Ltd. etc...where each of these companies reported healthy growth in profits given the current business environment and yet each of them is down by anywhere between 7-20% since the beginning of the year.

Companies drawing Tails include Divis, Reliance Capital, Zee, etc...where each of these companies fared poorly (it wasn't a disaster though!) only to lose a third of their market value in a little more than a months time!

It seems as though stock prices have just one desire - to keep losing value; little by little every week! Looks a lot like 2001-02 and early 2003, isnt it?

Ofcourse, we all know what followed then, dont we? :)

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